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| The Dissidents Need Some Foreign Support
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Geneive Abdo,
The Century Foundation,
2/12/2010
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Events in Iran this week showed the determination of both the regime and the opposition, but should also provide a lesson for Western governments: unless the outside world aids the opposition, the regime could continue to rule indefinitely through brutal force without an inch of reform to the system. The regime was able to show its strength, which seemed greater than in the past; millions of supporters came out to cheer for President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's government.Continue Reading in the Taking Note blog.
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| Iran election no deterrent to Obama
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Jeffrey Laurenti,
The Century Foundation,
6/16/2009
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Barack Obama has been there before. In January 2008 he stunned the political world by winning the Iowa Democratic caucuses, and the excitement of that victory generated a surge of support for certain victory a few days later in New Hampshire that would wrap up the nomination. But New Hampshire Democrats stuck with what they knew, and Obama was doomed to a long, hard slog to win the nomination and presidency.
Last week the unexpected victory of the relatively liberal multiparty coalition in Lebanon's elections energized a Washington despondent over democratic change in the Middle East: Yes we can. The defeat of the Christian faction aligned with Hizbollah, Iran's ally in Lebanon's byzantine politics, raised hopes. Sure enough, there were all the signs of another surge, for come-from-behind challenger Mir Hossein Mousavi, in the climactic last days of Iran's own presidential campaign. Polls predicted an upset in the making; younger Iranians' yearning for change could not be stopped.Continue Reading on the Taking Note Blog.
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| Iran’s Divided Conservatives Plot Election Strategy
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Geneive Abdo,
The Century Foundation,
3/12/2009
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The key political players in Iran’s conservative faction, who have been permanent fixtures since the aftermath of the 1979 Revolution, are often assumed to be interchangeable. Outside observers may question whether there is really a difference between Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Ali Larijani, the former nuclear negotiator, or Mohsen Rezai, secretary of the Expediency Council and former commander of the Revolutionary Guards. However, during the presidential campaign underway, the complexities and rivalries among conservative political elites are becoming much more apparent than at any other time in Iran’s post-revolutionary history.
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View other articles from this bulletin.
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| Iran’s Divided Conservatives Plot Election Strategy
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Geneive Abdo,
The Century Foundation,
3/12/2009
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The key political players in Iran’s conservative faction, who have been permanent fixtures since the aftermath of the 1979 Revolution, are often assumed to be interchangeable. Outside observers may question whether there is really a difference between Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Ali Larijani, the former nuclear negotiator, or Mohsen Rezai, secretary of the Expediency Council and former commander of the Revolutionary Guards. However, during the presidential campaign underway, the complexities and rivalries among conservative political elites are becoming much more apparent than at any other time in Iran’s post-revolutionary history.
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View other articles from this bulletin.
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| Iran’s Presidential Candidates Respond to Perceived U.S. Overtures
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Geneive Abdo,
The Century Foundation,
2/25/2009
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When the U.S. government included Iran in the “axis of evil,” it was easy for the Iranian regime to rally the masses in anti-America fury. But after 30 years of staged rallies in Tehran filled with “Death to America” chants, the conciliatory messages from President Barack Obama have taken Iran’s clerics and political elites aback. Even though the regime is adamantly anti-American, many Iranians are not. Candidates running for president are particularly stumped as to whether they should appeal to their constituents or the country’s leaders, such as Khamenei, who remains steadfast in his anti-American stance.
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| Bush's Thousand Days
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Arthur M. Schlesinger, Jr.,
Washington Post,
4/25/2006
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A thousand days remain of President Bush's last term—days filled with ominous preparations for and dark rumors of a preventive war against Iran.
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| Iran Carrots and Sticks
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Jeffrey Laurenti,
The Century Foundation,
4/17/2006
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U.S. hardliners' public brandishing of military sticks has already weakened the U.S. case and undermined international willingness to squeeze Iran.
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| Speaking to Tehran, With One Voice
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Jessica Mathews,
New York Times,
3/22/2006
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With the Iranian nuclear crisis about to land in the Security Council, the events that led up to the war in Iraq point clearly to what needs to be done.
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| A New Grand Bargain for Nuclear Non-Proliferation
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Morton H. Halperin,
The Century Foundation,
1/18/2006
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With Iran and North Korea both continuing to defy American efforts to get them to abandon nuclear programs, we need to consider whether we are on the right track in our attempts to halt nuclear proliferation.
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Taking Note
